Los precios del trigo y la cebada siguen bajando y la caída, que parece una avalancha, no cesa, a pesar de la estabilización del tipo de cambio del dólar y de los derechos de exportación. La influencia dominante en el mercado es la oferta activa de cereales de la nueva cosecha, que los agricultores se esfuerzan por vender lo antes posible. El único cultivo al que no se aplicó esta tendencia fue la soja, pero en un futuro próximo el aumento optimista de sus precios puede detenerse.
Purchasing prices for wheat in Russian ports continue to fall, despite the stabilization of the dollar exchange rate and export duties. The fundamental factor is the FOB price, which dropped another $2–4 per ton during the week. However, the real pressure on the market is created by an oversupply of wheat among farmers in all macro-regions in the European part of Russia, which accumulates against the backdrop of a reduction in purchases from importers. This is partly explained by the seasonal decline in demand after active purchases in July-August, as well as the competitive supply of the new crop in European countries and Ukraine. In the next 2-3 weeks, including focusing on a moderately active lineup, we can hardly expect prices to return to fair parity levels. On the barley market, prices also continued to decline, although at a less active pace compared to wheat. Nevertheless, the current level is almost 1000 rubles per ton below the calculated parity level. FOB prices moved ...
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