Recently cocoa markets have been going through a disruption after Ivory Coast and Ghana decided to cap production output for 2020 due to the evergoing low margins that farmers are living by. Those nations instituted a LID (Living Income Differential) to boost farmers profit to $400 premium charge. Convergence between later-dated contracts and markets will endure a lot of turbulence, making buyers to buckle up all the way down October, when contracts will expire in London. This is where most of the West African product is hedged.
As financial markets try to keep spread and risk at bay while warehouses are holding 2nd graded stocks from Cameroon, big traders are looking for new sources of supply from West, Central and East Africa. Also some chocolate processors already adjusted prices in order to cushion the blow based on an expected budgetary cost hiking.
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