A Reduction in the Supply of Citrus is Expected in the US Market

The United States citrus crop in 2021/22 is forecast to be 6M/mt, 13% less than the final production of the 2020/21 season. The declines in global production are due to smaller orange and grapefruit harvests in California, Florida, and Texas, and smaller tangerine harvests in California and Florida.

All orange production in California is expected to decline by 5%, split between a 4% reduction in non-Valencia orange production (Navel and early/mid-season varieties) and a 9% reduction in Valencia oranges compared to last season.
The supply forecast for all Florida oranges is down 5% from the February 2022 forecast and is expected to be 22% lower than last season. Orange supplies are also likely to be below 2017/18 levels when Hurricane Irma hit Florida. Declining production of oranges, grapefruit, and mandarins is expected to increase imports and higher prices compared to last year.