Brazilian Common Beans scenario 2019-2021

The last crop of beans had highs and lows in price, due to the increase in consumption with the pandemic, in addition to the drop in the second crop due to climatic factors that increased the concentration of the grain in June. Bean production in Brazil is divided into three harvests.

In the 19/20 harvest, the first harvest increased 11.8% in relation to the previous harvest, closing at 1.1 million tons. In the second harvest, the fall was 3.9%, reaching 1.2 million tons and in the third growth, 13.4%, with 825 thousand tons. In the total of the three cycles were 3.1 million tonnes, an increase of 5.4%.

With an internal consumption of 3,050 thousand tons, 149.6 thousand tons were imported and 164 thousand tons were exported. The final stock was estimated at 240.7 thousand tons, a volume 16.2% lower than that of 2018. The average price of colored beans in the states of Goiás, São Paulo, Minas Gerais and Paraná in July 2020 is BRL 215.10/60kg bag, 55% more than the same average in July 2019. Data are from the National Supply Company (Conab).

For the 20/21 harvest, the agency estimates production stability, with a small drop of 4.4%, with the expectation of harvesting 3 million tons in a planted area of 2.9 million hectares. In the first harvest, a projection of 609 thousand tons in just over 365 thousand hectares. Still, according to Conab, there is an expectation of maintaining the common bean area because despite the good profitability, competing crops by area are also showing remunerative prices.

Including all classes of grain, the expectation is to maintain consumption for 2020. Brazilian production is well adjusted to demand, allowing producers to have good profitability and everything indicates that the scenario remains so, at least until the first harvest of the 2020/2021 season.