Arabica coffee prices expected to fall 30% by end of 2025, survey finds

Published 2025년 2월 13일

Tridge summary

A poll by Reuters predicts a significant drop in Arabica coffee futures by the end of 2025, with prices expected to decrease by about 30% to $2.95 per pound. This forecast is largely due to recent high prices dampening demand and early indications of a sizable crop in Brazil for the next year. The total Brazilian coffee crop is anticipated to decrease slightly for the 2024/25 season, although there are expectations for a larger crop in the following year. Robusta coffee prices are also expected to decline, with an increase in Brazil's robusta crop and a potential rise in production in Vietnam.

Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

By Nigel Hunt LONDON (Reuters) - Arabica coffee futures are set to fall by about 30% by the end of 2025 as recent record prices are expected to dampen demand, while early signs point to a bumper crop in Brazil next year, a Reuters poll showed on Thursday. The poll gave a median forecast for arabica coffee prices at the end of 2025 of $2.95 per pound, down 30% from Wednesday’s close and down 6% from the end of 2024. “Demand will flatten in response to very high prices,” said a participant in the survey of 12 traders and analysts. The price rise was fueled by the prospect of a smaller arabica crop in top producer Brazil in the 2025/26 season, which starts around May. The median forecast for Brazil’s 2025/26 arabica coffee crop in the survey was 40.55 million bags, down from 43.4 million bags in the previous season. Several participants, however, pointed to the potential for a larger crop in the 2026/27 season, to be harvested next year. “If we can get through the frost/rain ...

Source: NoticiasAgricolas