The International Coffee Organization (ICO) has forecasted a surplus of over 5 million bags in the 2020/21 coffee harvest, an increase from the surplus of around 4 million bags in the previous cycle. The total production for the season is projected to reach 171.89 million bags, marking a 1.9% increase from the previous year. Despite a rise in global coffee consumption to 166.62 million bags, a 1.3% increase, the ICO anticipates limited recovery in demand due to COVID-19 social distancing measures and economic challenges. This surplus and the slow demand recovery are expected to cap any significant increases in coffee prices throughout the year.