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Chicago corn prices fell despite lower stock estimates in USDA report

Published Feb 12, 2025

Tridge summary

The USDA's February supply and demand report showed a surprising decrease in global opening stocks and production forecasts for corn, which would usually lead to a increase in futures prices. However, futures in Chicago fell due to a significant decrease in world import and export forecasts, particularly due to a reduction in corn imports by China and a decrease in demand for expensive Ukrainian corn. Despite improving weather conditions in Argentina and Brazil, which could increase production, futures prices fell in Chicago but rose slightly in Paris.
Disclaimer: The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

In the February corn supply and demand report, USDA experts unexpectedly sharply lowered their estimate of world opening stocks and production forecasts and, accordingly, ending stocks. But despite the “bullish” report, futures in Chicago fell due to a significant decrease in world import and export forecasts. Compared to the January estimates, the new world corn balance for the 2024/25 MY has undergone the following changes: According to the report, March corn futures on the CBOT exchange in Chicago fell by 1.6% to 190.5/t (+2.9% compared to the data after the January report), while corn futures in Paris rose by 0.2% to 217.75 €/t or 225.6 $/t (+1.9%). A sharp reduction in corn imports by China will increase the ...
Source: Graintrade
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