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Drought jeopardizes soybean production in the central region

Published Jan 16, 2025

Tridge summary

The Rosario Stock Exchange (BCR) reports that the sowing of second-season soybeans in the central region is being compromised by insufficient rainfall and lack of water reserves, with the situation becoming irreversible in the north of Buenos Aires due to high plant loss. First-season soybeans may also fail to reach average yields without significant rainfall. The proportion of regular plots is on the rise, but drought and thermo-hydric stress in the past 30 days have made a normal production scenario unlikely, with a production estimate of 53 / 53.5 Mt no longer feasible and a planting estimate maintained at 17.8 Mt.
Disclaimer: The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

The weekly report of estimates from the Rosario Stock Exchange (BCR) carried out an analysis of the situation of the current campaign, in which it states that the sowing of second-season soybeans is compromised in the central region. They were sown with little rain and then, already without water and without reserves due to the consumption of wheat, they need immediate help from the rains to be able to continue in the race. Regrettably, the situation of second-season soybeans is beginning to be irreversible, especially in the north of Buenos Aires, due to the severe amount of plant loss that is being observed in recent days. In the case of first-season soybeans, it would need very significant rains to regain the possibility of reaching average yields. The proportion of regular plots continues to rise in the center and north of Buenos Aires, center and south of Santa Fe along with Entre Ríos. Many cases are already seen with roundups of plant losses, flower abortion and the attack ...
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