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Forecasts of frost in the US in the absence of a layer of snow led to a speculative increase in wheat prices

Published Feb 17, 2025

Tridge summary

Speculative purchases by traders have driven wheat prices up by 2.7-3.8% on US exchanges due to concerns over potential crop damage from anticipated frost and lack of snow cover in the US and Ukraine. The US is expected to experience extreme cold temperatures next week, while Ukraine faces concerns of reduced soil moisture reserves and crop condition worsening. However, favorable European weather conditions have limited the price increase in the Euronext exchange in Paris. The market's speculative pressure is expected to lessen over the weekend with the assessment of potential crop damage, as temperatures in the US and Ukraine rise above 0°C and there is minor precipitation.
Disclaimer: The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Forecasts of a new wave of frosts in the US in the absence of a sufficient layer of snow led to a speculative increase in wheat prices on US exchanges by 2.7-3.8% on Friday. It is expected that next week in the winter wheat growing regions of the US temperatures will drop to -20...-22°C at night and -5...-10°C during the day, and minor snowfalls will occur only at the beginning of the week. On Monday, the exchanges will be closed on the occasion of the celebration of Presidents' Day, so traders have intensified their purchases of wheat against the background of the risks of damage to crops in fields where there is no snow cover. March wheat futures rose on Friday: Traders are also concerned about the lack of snow cover in Ukraine's fields, where frosts of -10…-12°C at night and -3…-5°C during the day are expected next week, which will reduce soil moisture reserves and worsen the condition of winter crops. March wheat futures on the Euronext exchange in Paris rose by only 0.8% ...
Source: Graintrade
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