World: La Niña weather is 65% likely to develop in July-September, says US forecaster

Published Jun 14, 2024

Tridge summary

A US government forecaster predicts a 65% chance of the La Niña weather pattern developing during July-September and persisting into the northern hemisphere winter of 2024-25 with an 85% chance during November-January. This shift from the current neutral phase can impact global weather, affecting crops and potentially causing wildfires, cyclones, floods, and droughts. While La Niña may lead to warm and dry conditions in North America, East Asia, and parts of South America, it can benefit crops in South Africa, South and Southeast Asia, and Australia due to increased rainfall. The timing and intensity of La Niña, along with other phenomena like the Indian Oscillation Dipole (IOD), can further influence weather patterns and agricultural outcomes.
Disclaimer: The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

There is a 65% chance of the La Niña weather pattern, characterized by cold temperatures in the Pacific Ocean, developing during July-September, a US government forecaster said on Thursday. This shift from the current neutral phase between La Niña and El Niña weather patterns is expected to persist into the northern hemisphere winter of 2024-25, with an 85% chance during November-January, the National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) said in its monthly forecast. The cycle between El Niño, La Niña, and a neutral phase typically lasts two to seven years and can spawn wildfires, tropical cyclones, floods, and prolonged droughts, impacting farmers worldwide. Geographically concentrated crops are more susceptible to price hikes during poor weather conditions. This makes global wheat and corn prices less likely to be affected by La Niña or El Niño, said Bill Weatherburn, senior climate and commodities economist at Capital Economics. El Niño is a natural warming of ...
Source: Gmanetwork
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