The imported shrimp market in Europe and the US will pick up in the second half of the year, but demand in China will decline, according to Rabobank

Published Jul 24, 2024

Tridge summary

The report highlights a recovery in European and American markets in early 2024, with easing inflation and improved supply in Indonesia and Vietnam. However, China's demand remains uncertain, and potential short-term gains in Chinese shrimp prices may be offset by increases in Ecuador or India. Positive trends for the shrimp industry include increased fishmeal supplies, lower feed costs, and recovering US and EU markets, which may mitigate declining Chinese imports. Rabobank predicts a decline in China's imports due to economic issues and rising domestic supply, while Ecuador and India are expected to boost production. Ecuador aims to expand in Western markets, risking overproduction, and Indian shrimp demand and supply are set to rise. Vietnam's industry is recovering from 2023 cuts, and Indonesian exporters face competition and a 4% US anti-dumping tax.
Disclaimer: The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

The report said European and American markets appear to have bottomed out in the first half of 2024, with demand gradually recovering. To some extent, inflationary demand constraints are no longer as significant, and supply is recovering in Indonesia and Vietnam. However, demand in China remains uncertain and short-term gains in Chinese shrimp prices in the second half of the year could be offset by gains in Ecuador or India. Positive factors for the shrimp industry in the second half of the year include increased fishmeal supplies, lower feed costs and recovering markets in the US and European Union. These factors may offset the impact of declining Chinese imports on the global market, but how long this trend may continue remains unclear. Rabobank forecasts that China's imports will decline in the second half of the year, mainly due to economic problems and rising domestic supply. At the same time, production in Ecuador and India will continue to grow. Ecuadorian exporters plan ...
Source: Fishretail
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