The European Union's crop monitoring service, MARS, has revised its crop forecast for this year's EU wheat, barley and rapeseed crops due to drought, saying significant rain is needed to avoid further crop losses. The drought in parts of Europe, including France, the EU's largest grain producer, has upset the international market, which is already struggling with the loss of Ukrainian stocks due to the Russian invasion.
In its monthly report, MARS has reduced its EU 2022 wheat forecast per hectare (t / ha) to 5.89 tonnes from 5.95 t / ha last month. This is now 2.5% below the 2021 level, although 0.9% higher than the average for the past five years. “Our yield forecasts for autumn crops have been revised slightly downwards at EU level, but remain above the five-year average. Significant rainfall will be needed in the coming weeks to maintain crop potential, ”MARS said. However, he warned that weather forecasts for the week ending 28 May showed rainfall of more than 5 mm across Europe in less than three days, and longer-term forecasts for June-August indicated warmer and drier conditions than usual. This is likely to be the case in much of the region, “potentially exacerbating the negative climate water balance”. In the case of barley, MARS reduced the expected spring barley yield from 4.97 t / ha last year to 4.89 t / ha, reflecting the spring barley forecast of 4.31 t / ha to 4.18 t / ha. and a ...
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