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South American soybean meal basis hits three-month high

Published Mar 24, 2025

Tridge summary

Soybean meal port differentials in South America have strengthened, reaching their highest level since December 2024, with the Brazilian FOB Paranaguá basis at a $7/st premium to the Chicago Board of Trade futures and the Argentine FOB Up River premium at a $2/st over the CBOT. This strengthening occurs amidst global trade tensions, with China expected to increase its purchases of South American soybeans and the EU likely to increase its imports of soybean meal from Argentina and Brazil. Local issues such as the appreciation of the Brazilian Real, producer sales retractions, and uncertainties in Argentina due to strike movements and crop yields also contribute to the situation.
Disclaimer: The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Soybean meal port differentials in South America have strengthened over the past few days, reaching their highest level since December 2024. On March 20, Platts, part of S&P Global Commodity Insights, assessed the Brazilian FOB Paranaguá basis for shipment in May at a $7/st premium to the Chicago Board of Trade futures, after reaching $8/st on March 19, the highest for a spot delivery since Dec. 13, 2024. In Argentina, the FOB Up River premium for May stood at $2/st over the CBOT on March 20, the highest value for a front-month loading since Dec. 19, 2024, according to Platts data. Brazil and Argentina are global leaders in exporting soybean meal. The strengthening of port differentials from these origins occurs at a time when the trend would typically be downward pressure on them due to harvests in these countries. The escalation of tensions in global trade, particularly involving the US, China, and the EU, partially accounts for this scenario, market participants said. In ...

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