The USDA has lowered its forecast for global wheat stocks, but prices remain under pressure

Published Jun 13, 2025

Tridge summary

In the June USDA report, global wheat consumption and export forecasts were unexpectedly raised, leading to a reduction in end-of-year stock estimates

Original content

. Despite this, exchange quotations fell by 0.4–1.5%, as demand remains weak, and July data will likely require adjustment. Key changes in the forecast for 2024/25 marketing year: Indicator June 2024 May 2024 Difference Initial stocks 268.96 million tons 269.11 million tons -0.15 Global production 799.91 million tons 799.71 million tons +0.20 Global consumption 804.9 million tons 803.62 million tons +1.28 Global exports 205.91 million tons 206.12 million tons -0.21 End-of-year stocks 263.98 million tons 265.21 million tons -1.23 Changes in the forecast for 2025/26 marketing year: Indicator June 2024 May 2024 Difference Initial stocks 263.98 million tons 265.21 million tons -1.23 Global production 808.59 ...
Source: Graintrade

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