What are the current prospects for the grain sector?

Published May 12, 2025

Tridge summary

The International Grains Council forecasts equal production and demand at 2.373 billion tons each for 2025. Global grain production is expected to recover with favorable growing conditions, while demand is expected to increase due to the use of cheap corn in the feed industry. However, economic instability, including a reduction in global economic growth to 2.8% from the IMF, and risks such as changes in US trade policy and ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, could impact grain markets. The US is predicted to see a increase in corn production, while the European Union is expected to experience a recovery in wheat and barley production.

Disclaimer: The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

In brief: • According to IGC, production will be identical to demand • IMF has reduced economic growth for 2025 In its forecast, the International Grains Council (IGC) expects 2.373 billion tons of production and an identical 2.373 billion tons of demand. Global grain production is expected to recover by 70 million tons due to more favorable growing conditions, while demand will increase by 45 million tons as more cheap corn is expected to find a place in the feed industry. Like other agencies, the IGC expects wheat stocks among major exporters to decrease further in 2025-26. Barley supplies look more balanced, forecasting the first surplus in three years due to weak demand from the malting and brewing industries. The IGC has forecast a 20 million tonne increase in US corn production, which would lead to the largest harvest in 12 years. Sowing in the US has been carried out in good conditions, but whether the forecast will come true will be seen in July, when hot and dry ...

Source: Agri