W9: Weekly Poultry & Egg Update

Published Mar 8, 2023
Tridge's global market analysts and country representatives take a deep dive into what happened during W9 in the global poultry and egg landscape. In summary, the USDA forecasts global chicken meat production and exports to increase by 1.8% and 3.7% to reach 102.7M MT and 14.1M MT, respectively in 2023. European chicken meat production in 2023 is expected to be stable while consumption is estimated to grow by 1.4% compared to 2022. Polish suppliers were paid USD 2.01/kg for turkeys, down 0.6% and 2% compared to W8 and a month ago respectively. In Egypt, the price of ducks have stabilized between USD 2.11/kg and 3.08/kg. Lastly, Tridge’s analysis indicates that Peruvian wholesale chicken egg prices hit the highest level in at least 2 years with increases of 16% MoM and 28% YoY.


Global: USDA Forecasts the World Chicken Meat Market in 2023 (Feb 28)

Global chicken meat production in 2023 is forecast to increase by 1.8% to 102.7M MT. Although high energy and feed prices reduce profits globally, all major producers outside of China are expected to expand production. This is driven by strong demand as consumers seek lower-cost animal proteins amid rising food prices. Global chicken exports in 2023 are forecast to increase by 3.7% to 14.1M MT. Growth was driven by strong demand in Brazil, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, the US, and the EU. Brazil appears to be well-positioned to meet most of this increased demand as its main competitors are struggling to increase exportable supply. Competitive prices, access to the EU market, and availability of halal products combine to make Brazil the world's top exporter, accounting for more than a third of global exports.

Europe: No to Cages, Animal Welfare Must Be Increased (Feb 27)

To improve the well-being of broiler chickens and farmed laying hens, EFSA scientists recommend avoiding the practice of mutilation, food restriction, and the use of cages. They put it in two new scientific opinions, while producers complain about higher costs. The European food safety authority (EFSA) also expresses a clear opinion in favor of an evolution for poultry farms that leaves behind cages, narrow spaces, and mutilations.

Europe: The European Food Safety Authority Publishes New Report on Broiler Chicken Welfare (Mar 1)

EFSA (European Food Safety Authority) released a new report on the welfare of broiler chickens on farms, which provides a scientific basis to support the ongoing revision of the European Union’s animal welfare legislation, as part of the European Commission’s Farm to Fork strategy. The scientific opinion includes advice on the stocking density of the animals, lighting, dust, noise, litter, and structures such as elevated platforms. The ”Welfare of broilers on a farm” released on 21 February presents a comprehensive overview of the latest scientific findings on the welfare of broiler chickens kept in the most common husbandry systems used in the European Union.

Europe: Chicken Meat Production in the EU Is Expected to Remain Stable During 2023 (Mar 3)

Despite increased production costs and avian influenza outbreaks, EU chicken meat production is expected to remain stable through 2023, while consumption is expected to increase by 1.4%, compared to 1.2% in 2022. This is partly due to the price of chicken compared to other meats in the context of inflation, according to a report from the US Department of Agriculture (GAIN-USDA). The report summarizes that 2022 imports of chicken meat increased by 13%, with expectations of a greater increase in 2023 due to the demand for HORECA. The report also indicates that the demand for Ukrainian chicken meat increased by 60% in 2022 as these imports benefited from temporary free trade measures due to the war. Meanwhile, exports fell by 6.1% in 2022 and a further reduction is expected in 2023 given the restrictions due to avian influence and the low price of other producing regions. 

UK: Shifting UK’s Poultry Meat Towards Slower-Growing Breeds (Mar 2)

Research is underway at the UK’s Royal Veterinary College (RVC) to provide a comprehensive analysis of the impacts of opportunities for and barriers to moving UK chicken meat production towards better welfare broiler breeds. Selection for fast growth has greatly increased the efficiency of broiler production, leading to the most widely consumed affordable protein across the globe. But multiple breed comparison studies have shown that slower-growing broilers have better welfare outcomes in terms of both health and natural behavior than traditional fast-growing breeds. This has led to campaigns for producers to shift towards meeting the Better Chicken Commitment standards, but the RVC says that the vast majority of UK production (95%) still relies on fast-growing breeds. Only a few broiler breeder companies can undertake breeding for better welfare, but to achieve real-world effect this must be driven by industry demand. 

Brazil: Producers in Brazil Must Increase Care on Farms Against Avian Flu (Feb 27)

The advance of avian flu over neighboring countries to Brazil turned on the highest alert for breeders, industries, and government representatives. Along with the routine care adopted on the properties, it is important to highlight the need to incorporate practices that help prevent the arrival of the disease that can cause billionaire losses to the economy of Brazil, the world's largest exporter of chicken meat. In January, the country exported a record volume for the month. According to the Brazilian Association of Animal Proteins (ABPA), shipments totaled 420.9K MT, 20.6% more than in the same period last year. Revenue increased by 38.9% in the same comparison, reaching USD 856.6M. There are more than 40 countries that register active outbreaks of avian flu in a scenario considered the worst ever seen by representatives of the sector. Brazil has never recorded an occurrence of the problem. 

Brazil: Chicken Prices (Feb 28)

In São Paulo, according to Scot Consultoria, poultry on the farm remained stable at USD 0.94/kg (R$4.90), as well as chicken wholesale costs USD 1.27/kg (R$6.60). In the case of live animals, São Paulo had no price reference. There was no increase in prices in Santa Catarina or Paraná, at USD 0.83/kg (R$ 4.30) and USD 0.95/kg (R$ 4.94), respectively. According to information from Cepea/Esalq, referring to Feb 27, frozen poultry had a slight increase of 0.57%, reaching USD 1.36/kg (R$ 7.07), while frozen chicken dropped 0.42%, closing at USD 1.37/kg (R$ $7.10).

Brazil: The Government of Acre Will Deliver Free-Range Chicken Agroindustry on a Large Commercial Scale (Mar 1)

The government of Acre, through the Secretariat of Industry, Science, Commerce, Entrepreneurship, and Tourism (Seicetur), will deliver free-range and semi-caipira chicken agroindustry to rural producers in the Alto Acre region. On March 4, the 25th, Secretary Assurbanipal Mesquita signed a work order for the revitalization of the slaughterhouse and the equipment delivery contract. The investment will be USD 150.24K (R$ 780K). The director of Industry and Commerce at Seicetur, Alberto Azenha, assured that within 60 days the agroindustry will be operational.

Brazil: USDA Points Out the Trends of Brazilian Chicken Meat in 2023 (Mar 1)

In less than a month and a half, the US Department of Agriculture presented two studies on trends in Brazilian poultry in 2023, on January 12th and February 24. Between the two, minimal differences, but maintain growth prospects. The focus, here, goes to the most recent study, prepared by the agricultural attachés of the USDA in Brasilia. It pointed out that the Brazilian production of chicken meat, decreasing by 0.24% from 2021 to 2022, tends, this year, to grow close to 2.5% to reach 14.825M MT. However, a more significant performance is reserved for chicken meat exports which, last year, increased by more than 5%. Because the expected increase for this year is close to 3.5%, an index that suggests a volume of around 4.6M MT, something that, if achieved, would represent an increase of practically 9% in just one biennium. Once the production and export figures are confirmed, 10.230M MT of chicken meat will remain in the domestic market, a volume 2.5% higher than last year, but still half a percent lower than that reached in 2021.

Brazil: Chicken Meat Volume Exported in February Corresponded to a New Record for the 2nd Month of the Year (Mar 3)

Last February, chicken meat exports reached, once again, a record volume for the month. The total shipped, 353.4K MT, considering only the natura product, once again surpassed the previous record of 339.4K MT, registered in February last year. Incidentally, in the last 12 months, on only two occasions, July and September, did shipments not represent a record for the month. That is: the largest volume ever exported in the month of July was registered five years ago, in 2018. And the record for the month of September occurred in 2021. In view of the most recent performance, it is practically certain that the record recorded a year ago, in March 2022, will be surpassed again this month. Not only does the good daily average shipped last February, 19.6K MT/day, point in that direction, but, above all, the fact that March has 23 business days, five more than February. 

Poland: Meat Market (Feb 2)

In W2 of February 2023, The purchase price of broiler chickens, as in the previous month, amounted to USD 1.27/kg (PLN 5.67) and was higher by USD 0.0022 (PLN 0.01) than the week before. Carcasses of gutted chickens were sold at USD 1.93/kg (PLN 8.59), 1% and 10% more expensive than a week and a month ago, respectively. 

Turkey: 6.5M Poultry Were Culled Due to Bird Flu in Afyonkarahisar and Denizli (Mar 2)

The claim that bird flu cases, which have been intensely seen in many countries of the world for the last 18 months and have caused the death of more than 200M poultry to date, have been seen in Turkey as well. According to the news of Bloomberg HT, bird flu cases started to increase in Afyonkarahisar and Denizli. While the official authorities have not yet made a statement on the subject, it has been claimed that bird flu cases started to be seen on January 20 in the Başmakçı district of Afyonkarahisar, the capital of Turkey's egg production, and more than 5M chickens were culled in the egg production facilities in the quarantined Başmakçı district. Egg production facilities in Denizli's Honaz district were also quarantined due to bird flu cases, and it is claimed that around 1.5M laying hens were culled in the district.

Thailand: Bird Flu Alert After Cambodia Death (Feb 28)

Thai health officials say there is no need to panic over a bird-flu fatality in Cambodia but have advised the public to cook chicken and eggs thoroughly. The Health Department said it is monitoring for signs of the virus in Thailand after a child died of bird flu in eastern Cambodia. Department director-general Suwannachai Wattanayingcharoenchai advised farmers, sellers, and consumers of chicken and eggs to keep their guard up and observe disease prevention measures. 

Russia: The Smena Breeding Center for Growing New Cross-Country Chickens Will Be Launched in Russia in May (Mar 3)

Investments in the project amounted to USD 65M (5B rubles). The construction of the Smena breeding and genetic center in the Moscow region is planned to be completed in May 2023, Vladimir Fisinin, president of Rosptitsesoyuz, said at the International Scientific and Practical Conference of Veterinary Doctors of Poultry Farms of the Russian Federation and the CIS. The construction of the center began in June last year, and it is planned to grow chickens of the new domestic meat cross-country Smena-9, which was registered in 2020, at its sites. Chickens of this cross are distinguished by high productivity rates, and their meat is of good taste.

South Africa: The South African Poultry Association (Sapa) Unpacks Green Shoots, Worrying Factors in State of the Poultry Industry Address (Mar 1)

The South African Poultry Association (SAPA) is preparing an application for export accreditation in the European Union (EU) and Saudi Arabian markets, which GM Izaak Breitenbach says could have a material impact on the industry’s competitiveness in the future. The Saudi Arabian authorities are due to inspect local production facilities soon, which form part of what is rigorous testing to comply with import requirements. Breitenbach explains that Saudi Arabia is seeking to diversify its supply base of chicken, as it is a net importer of chicken, mostly from Thailand. The country’s chicken demand is growing owing to a big population; however, Breitenbach says it will take time to solidify the relationship with the right customers within the country. SAPA aims to have producers supply boneless portions to Saudi Arabia, and cooked chicken breast meat to the EU, as this region, is a net importer of this product.

Peru: Chicken Price Nationwide Reaches USD 3.41/KG in Markets (Mar 4)

In the last three months, the wholesale price of chicken has increased by 24.7%; USD 0.42/kg (S/1.60). It went from around USD 1.74/kg (S/6.62) on December 1, 2022, to USD 2.16/kg (S/8.22) on March 3. This increase has been more accentuated in the retail markets of metropolitan Lima where the meat of this bird is sold for up to USD 3.28/kg (S/12.5). The increase in this food, one of the main foods in the Peruvian diet, is explained by the reduction in supply due to the shortage of inputs such as soybeans that have not been able to enter the country due to the blockade of roads in the south, indicates Pedro José de Zavala, director of the Peruvian Poultry Association (APA).

India: Millet Instead of Corn in Commercial Poultry Production (Mar 3)

Indian scientists believe that corn can be completely replaced by millet in the diet of broilers without compromising poultry productivity and have developed a hybrid for growing in all weather conditions and on any soil. Corn, of course, is still the main feed ingredient in the diet of broilers with an inclusion level of about 60% in the total diet. In India, a marginal increase in corn production, coupled with low yields per hectare, has widened the gap between supply and demand, putting strong pressure on corn prices. Accordingly, less expensive alternatives are constantly being considered. One source of energy available to replace corn in poultry diets is pearl millet, African millet, and American pinworm, a dry and hardy crop. India is the largest producer of pearl millet in the world. Millet grain is similar in quality to corn and is currently included up to 30% in the diet of chickens and up to 60% in the diet of young and laying hens.

Vietnam: Domestic Chicken Surplus, Imported Chicken Is Still High (Mar 2)

Market research company Ipsos Vietnam has just announced an assessment of the meat consumption and livestock market in Vietnam. In the chicken production segment, Ipsos Vietnam assessed that although chicken meat consumption is forecasted to continue to grow rapidly, it is difficult for chicken production to increase suddenly because the market is fiercely competitive by imported sources and associated with high demand followed by a series of challenges. According to data compiled by Ipsos Vietnam, in 2022 alone, the value of imported chicken meat has reached USD 237M importing about 178K MT of chicken, despite the already surplus domestic supply. In the opposite direction, only 1K MT was exported with a total value of USD 2.2M. Thus, the export price of chicken is about USD 2.2/kg, the average imported chicken meat is only USD 1.33/kg. Broiler ducks were bought at USD 1.74/kg (PLN 7.72), USD 0.09/kg (PLN 0.4) more expensive than a week and a month earlier.

South Korea: Chicken Slaughter Volume Is Expected to Decrease by Next Month (Mar 3)

Due to the decrease in the number of chicks stocked due to the increase in production costs, it is expected that the amount of chicken slaughter will decrease for the time being. It is predicted that the number of chicks stocked decreased from 64.02 to 64.68M. It is analyzed that the reason for the decrease in the number of chicks stocked was the increase in production costs, such as feed price hikes, and the decrease in breeder productivity and hatching rate. In particular, the price of formulated feed for broilers has increased significantly, putting a burden on farmers. In January, mixed feed for broilers was USD 0.50/kg (665 won), compared to last year.

Egypt: White Chicken Prices for the Consumer in the Local Market (Feb 27)

Abdel Aziz Al-Sayed, head of the Poultry Division at the Cairo Chamber of Commerce, said that the prices of white chickens rose on Feb 27 in the local market by about USD 0.16 (5 pounds), to range between USD 2.43 and USD 2.50/kg (75 and 77 pounds) for the consumer.

Egypt: Chicks Prices Are Declining by USD 0.19 at Once, as Brazilian Chicks Continue to Be Released (Feb 27)

The prices of chicks witnessed a significant decrease in the buying and selling movement during the Feb 27 evening’s trading in poultry companies operating in the poultry wealth sector, as a result of the continued pumping of large quantities of Brazilian chicks. The statement of Dr. Ali Al-Moselhi, Minister of Supply and Internal Trade, on Feb 27 at the Food Industries Conference regarding the government's direction to open documentary credits to import 25K MT of Brazilian poultry, had a significant impact on increasing the decline in trading. The prices of chicks decreased from USD 0.065 to USD 0.19 (2 to 6 pounds) at once, as a result of the continued offering of Brazilian chicks in consumer complexes and Welcome Ramadan exhibitions.

Egypt: The Minister of Supply Explains the Reasons for the Low Prices of Brazilian Chicken Compared to Egyptian Chicken (Feb 27)

The Minister of Supply and Internal Trade, Dr. Ali Al-Moselhi, answered questions about the reasons for the low prices of Brazilian chicken compared to Egyptian chicken, on the sidelines of his participation in the Food Summit. The Minister of Supply said that the most prominent of these reasons is the rise in feed prices by about 100% and the difficulty of providing them to breeders in light of the recent crisis of the repercussions of the Russian-Ukrainian war. He added that the recent decrease in the quantities of fodder offered in the local market contributed to the departure of many breeders, in addition to the high cost of breeding in terms of production and hatching inputs. And he continued that the low temperatures and the cold weather led to a decrease in the quantities of poultry mothers and hatcheries in Egypt, and raised the energy consumption bill for breeders.

Egypt: A Great Controversy About the Method of Slaughtering Brazilian Chickens (Feb 27)

Since the Council of Ministers announced that about 50K MT of frozen Brazilian chickens have been released, in order to meet the needs of the local market, and as an attempt by the government to reduce poultry prices; there were statements skeptical about the method of slaughtering Brazilian chickens. Some of the pioneers of social networking sites announced that it was not carried out in accordance with Islamic law, causing a state of controversy prevailing in the Egyptian street. After a controversy arose over the method of slaughtering Brazilian chickens, Sayed Al-Nawawi, a member of the Importer's Division of the Chamber of Commerce, said that the Brazilian chickens in the local market are slaughtered according to Islamic law, in addition to conforming to the Egyptian standard specifications.

Egypt: Frozen Brazilian Chicken Is Safe for Consumption and Has No Harm (Mar 1)

Brazilian chicks remain the most searched word on Google by consumers over the past weeks. Researchers on the Internet are seeking to know where imported Brazilian chicken is sold and its prices, or whether is it harmful to the health of the consumer or not. Adel Sharif, a member of the Poultry Wealth Division of the Chamber of Commerce in Cairo, confirmed to Al-Mal that the frozen Brazilian chicken that was put on the local market during the last period has no harm to human health, and it is absolutely suitable for human consumption. He added that imported Brazilian frozen poultry is like any food commodity that is imported, such as American liver, frozen and imported Sudanese and Brazilian meat, and its validity is linked to the timing of production, which takes a year or a year and a half, depending on the validity of each origin. He said the government has offered during the last period Brazilian chicken in the local market through outlets affiliated with the Ministries of Supply and Agriculture and Welcome Ramadan exhibitions in the governorates, due to its low price compared to its counterpart in the local market.

Egypt: With the Recovery of the Sector and the Increase in Production Within Two Months (Mar 4)

Yassin Sabry in a quick move aimed at alleviating the citizen’s burden, and sensing the noticeable rise in poultry prices, the government imported large quantities of frozen poultry from Brazil and put them in markets and consumer complexes to create a kind of balance in supply and demand and cut off the road to crisis traffickers. Egypt's annual production reaches 14B table eggs annually, while the volume of poultry products from the commercial sector reaches about 1.4B birds. Poultry production from the rural sector reaches about 320M birds and investments in the Egyptian poultry industry total USD 3.24B (100B pounds). Employment in this sector is about 5M workers, and the number of poultry establishments (factories, feed, farms, outlets selling veterinary vaccines, slaughterhouses) reaches 42K establishments, bearing in mind that the volume of a production achieves self-sufficiency for Egypt with a surplus for export. However, this sector was subjected to a crisis after the outbreak of the “Russian-Ukrainian” war, which led to a shortage of poultry feed imports and an increase in their prices, and with it, the final production cost increased.

Egypt: Decreased Poultry Prices on March 5 (Mar 5)

On March 5, 2023, poultry prices witnessed a slight decline in the local market due to the recent release of quantities of feed ingredients during the last period. The price of a kilo of white chicken on the farm ranged from USD 2.30 to USD 2.36 (71 to 73 pounds) and reaches the consumer in stores at USD 2.53/kg (78 pounds) according to the region. While the price of a kilo of red chicken (Sasso) ranged on farms at about USD 3.56 (110 pounds), and it reaches the consumer at a price of USD 3.72 (115 pounds). The price of municipal chickens at the farm was USD 3.24/kg (100 pounds), and the consumer price ranged from USD 3.40/kg (105 pounds), depending on the region.

Argentina: The First Case of Bird Flu Appeared in Poultry (Mar 1)

After the first positive case of "avian influenza" in poultry was confirmed by Senasa, Argentina temporarily lost its status as a country free of the disease and decided to suspend the export of poultry products, complying with international standards. The consumption of chicken meat will continue to develop without changes because avian influenza does not affect humans, as explained by the Ministry of Agriculture in a statement. The National Agri-food Health and Quality Service (Senasa) "confirmed the first positive case of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5 in poultry", registered in the town of Mainque, in the province of Río Negro. 

Argentina: The Avian Influenza Epidemic Continues to Spread in South America in W9 (Mar 3)

The avian influenza epidemic continues to spread in South America, with 25 cases reported in Argentina until the W1 of March 2023. In mid-February 2023, Argentina declared a health emergency, but the poultry industry was not yet affected. Argentina's poultry products were exported to 56 countries in 2022, with a total value of up to USD 380M. The avian influenza outbreak in Argentine chicken farms has led to an export ban and will also affect the markets of other Latin American countries.

Ivory Coast: Small but Stable Poultry and Egg Production (Mar 1)

While broiler production in the Ivory Coast has enjoyed an average annual growth of 13.8% since 2009, production figures have seen a downward spiral in recent years. The government, however, has plans to boost the poultry meat and egg sectors. Up to 60% of the local poultry sector in the Ivory Coast is attributed to backyard production, and while there exist there are commercial producers and some large-scale commercial farmers, most production units are either small (50-1K birds) or medium-sized farms (1K-10K birds). Commercial production, however, is growing with the increasing demand for poultry products. Over the last 3 years, the sector has been battling like others worldwide against avian influenza outbreaks, and more recently, Covid-19 and the war in Ukraine have also dramatically impacted production due to increased freight costs for production inputs. Domestic broiler production is spread across approximately 1.5K broiler farms. 

Mexico: Ah5n1 Avian Influenza Identified in Aguascalientes (Mar 3)

The National Service of Health, Safety and Food Quality (Senasica) of Mexico reported the presence of the highly pathogenic avian influenza virus (HPAI) AH5N1 in three broiler chicken farms located in the municipalities of Asientos and Rincón de Romos, Aguascalientes. To control the outbreak, the General Directorate of Animal Health (DGSA) of the Agriculture Agency imposed a definitive quarantine on the three poultry production units (UPA) involved, which housed 826.8K birds and will establish internal quarantine for the state of Aguascalientes. The official veterinarians have started to apply the indicated health measures, for which the three affected UPAs will be depopulated, cleaned and disinfected, vacuumed, and sent on watch. They also started the epidemiological investigation, which involves collecting samples from family and commercial properties within a 10km radius of the affected UPAs.

Bangladesh: Farmers Called On Fixing Fair Prices of Broiler and Eggs (Mar 5)

Poultry producers have called upon the government to step in and set "fair prices" in order to stabilize the country's markets for broiler chicken and eggs. According to the Bangladesh Poultry Industries Association (BPIA), more than 62.66K poultry farms have shut down during the pandemic that struck the nation in March 2020, causing disruptions in the supply of chicken and eggs. BPIA Secretary General Khandker Md Mohsin said, currently, 95.52K farms are in production out of 158.18K. As a result, the daily production capacity of chicken has decreased from 5.27K MT to 4.22K MT. That is, meat production has decreased by 25.71%, Khandaker Md Mohsin said. Similarly, egg production has dropped from 6.64 crore pieces per day to 4.32 pieces. That means the production has fallen by 25%, he added.

Taiwan: 50K Imported Breeder Chickens Arrive in Taiwan (Feb 27)

The COA will help egg farmers import egg-laying birds in order to provide sufficient supply and accelerate the phase-out of low-yielding hens. In 2023, the number of imported egg-laying chickens is expected to reach 300K, according to a written report sent by the COA to the Legislative Yuan. It will also import a total of 5M shell and liquid eggs by the end of March, under a special project to address the egg shortage. A total of 260K egg-laying chickens were imported last year, and in 2023 the COA's goal is to import 300K. So far, Taiwan has taken delivery of 50K imported breeders this year, Chiang Wen-chuan, deputy of the Council of Agriculture's (COA) Department of Animal Industry, said.


Poland: Meat Market (Feb 2)

Suppliers were paid USD 2.01/kg (PLN 8.96) for turkeys, which is 0.6% less than in the previous week and 2% less than a month ago. The price of turkey carcasses was USD 3.39/kg (PLN 15.07), and therefore USD 0.0045/kg (0.02 PLN) lower than in the previous week and 3% lower than in the second week of January this year.

Egypt: Turkey Prices for the Consumer in the Local Market (Feb 27)

Turkey's prices ranged between USD 2.92/kg and USD 3.89/kg (90 and 120 pounds) in the local market, and Egypt consumes about 150K/ month of white poultry, and Egypt has recently succeeded in achieving self-sufficiency in white poultry by about 97%.


Egypt: Duck Prices for the Consumer in the Local Market (Feb 27)

The prices of ducks have stabilized between USD 2.11/kg and 3.08/kg (65 and 95 pounds). The volume of Egyptian poultry production has reached 4M chickens per day, and the price of a kilo of dairy ranged between USD 4.87 and 5.19 (150 and 160 pounds), depending on the region.


Tridge Analysis: The Impact of the Worsening Bird Flu Crisis on Global Markets (Mar 3)

Since February 2022, the bird flu virus has spread throughout poultry farms around the world, with 60 countries now reporting cases of infection, including the US, which produces 17% of the global output. According to the World Organisation for Animal Health (WOAH), the 2022/23 outbreaks have resulted in the death of 200M birds. Consequently, end-of-year prices for eggs rose to USD 2.78/dozen, a staggering increase of 210% compared to the previous year. Egg prices continue to soar in 2023, with a dozen of grade A eggs costing a record USD 4.77 in January, rising from USD 1.93 the previous year, a 150% increase. Most governments are now considering reversing their opposition to vaccines as other methods of control such as culling birds or locking them inside have failed to prevent the bird flu from returning to destroy commercial flocks year after year. The bird flu is expected to continue spreading to other countries in 2023 with fresh outbreaks reported in Cuba and Slovakia in February, putting global poultry supplies at further risk. Hence, Tridge expects unaffected countries like Brazil, the only top 5 global poultry suppliers, will benefit from the situation by increasing their poultry exports to affected countries. (Continue Reading)

Malaysia: Egg Subsidy to Continue Until June, Costing USD 0.28B (Feb 27)

Provision of subsidies for chicken eggs will continue until June 2023, involving a total cost of USD 0.28B (RM1.28B), said the Ministry of Agriculture and Food Security. The ministry in a statement on Feb 27 said the Cabinet reached an agreement to continue subsidizing chicken eggs in a meeting on Feb 17. "This step is being taken to ensure that the supply of chicken eggs in the country remains stable, while the study of the mechanism and policy of targeted subsidies can be finalized soon," said the ministry. The ministry said the need to bring in chicken eggs from abroad will also be reviewed once the supply in the country stabilizes.

Malaysia: The Ministry of Agriculture in Malaysia Sees Stable Chicken and Egg Supplies in the First Quarter of 2023 (Mar 1)

The government has estimated the average monthly supply of chickens and eggs to show a surplus of 16.85Mand 119.86M, respectively during the first quarter of 2023 (1Q2023). Agriculture and Food Security Minister Datuk Seri Mohamad Sabu said this compares with the estimated requirement of about 75M chickens and 1M eggs per month during the period. Therefore, the ministry projects the supply of chicken and eggs to be stable during the quarter, Mohamad said in a written parliamentary reply on Feb 28.

Hungary: Egg Producers in Hungary Are Facing a Drastic Situation (Mar 3)

The Poultry Product Council (BTT) and the National Chamber of Agricultural Economy (NAK) believe that the EFSA recommendations only take into account animal welfare aspects, but ignore the serious environmental, economic, and social consequences. They reminded them that the most important task of the poultry sector is to supply consumers with food of adequate quantity, quality, safe, affordable, and environmentally sustainable. The current proposals violate these basic goals, writes Agroinform, referring to experts. The criticized document formulates recommendations for the European Commission in connection with the animal welfare conditions of chickens and laying hens. 

Turkey: Egg Exports Hit by 7% Price Hike Due to Bird Flu and Earthquake Crises (Mar 1)

The recent outbreak of bird flu in the western region of Turkey and the earthquake that hit the eastern region has led to a 7% increase in egg prices in the country's export market. With demand remaining high but production limited due to the impact of these events on the poultry industry, Turkish egg suppliers are struggling to meet the needs of their overseas customers. As a result, international buyers are facing higher prices for Turkish eggs, which may lead them to explore other options in the market, or this situation will be reflected in the sales prices to end consumers in the importing countries.

Tridge Analysis: Peru Extends Sanitary Emergency Due to More Avian Flu Cases; Chicken Egg Prices Rise to Fresh Highs (Feb 27)

The Peruvian government announced that it would be intensifying the sanitary emergency given the "imminent risk of dissemination of the (H151 Avian Flu) virus into the rest of the national territory". The average of three chicken egg wholesale price points reported by Tridge touched in W8 the highest level in at least two years and increases of 16% MoM and 28% YoY. (Continue Reading)

Peru: Egg Price Increases to USD 5.77/Box in Arequipa (Mar 5)

The price of eggs increased significantly in the markets of the commercial platform Andrés Avelino Cáceres in Arequipa. According to the president of the defense front of the aforementioned supply center, Jhazmani Cayo, the plate of this poultry product was recently offered between USD 3.41 (S/13) and USD 3.67 (S/14); however, it now costs between USD 5.51 (S/21) and USD 5.77 (S/22)/box.

Taiwan: Egg Prices in Taiwan to Rise Again as Shortage Continues (Mar 5)

The wholesale price of domestically-produced eggs will be raised by USD 0.098 (NT$3) to a new high of USD 1.79/catty (N$55) (600 grams), while the farm gate price of eggs will also rise by USD 0.098 (NT$3) to USD 1.48 (NT$45.5)/catty. The price hikes, the second time within one month, was made due to an egg supply shortage, according to Chen Chin-ting, the chief executive of the committee formed by members of Taiwan's Poultry Association, which is composed of producers, processors, and sellers of poultry and eggs. 

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