A global wheat shortage, largely due to the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine, which together supply a third of the world's wheat, is expected to impact the Philippines despite not importing from these countries. The conflict has led to increased global wheat prices, which is affecting the cost of flour in the Philippines, a necessary ingredient for bread and other baked goods. The price of wheat and flour has further been driven up by rising freight costs and a declining Philippine peso value against the US dollar. The situation is expected to lead to higher prices for meat and fish due to increased feed costs. However, the Philippine Association of Flour Millers is optimistic and believes the country will ultimately survive the economic challenges posed by the global shortage.