In the event of a no-deal Brexit, Ireland faces significant economic and business challenges. The agri-food sector, which exports over €13 billion to the UK annually, could be hit hard with potential tariffs, including up to 52% on cheddar cheese and 74% on beef. Imported goods from the UK could also see price increases due to tariffs, affecting breakfast cereal, chocolate, and processed foods. The flow of goods into and out of Ireland is expected to face customs delays, impacting perishable goods and high value pharmaceuticals. The Irish Fiscal Advisory Council forecasts a possible 6% decrease in Irish GDP over the long-term, which could result in the loss of up to 55,000 jobs according to the government's contingency plan, or 100,000 fewer jobs over the medium term, as per the Central Bank.