Analysts expect a limited increase in feed demand in Russia

Published 2021년 5월 28일

Tridge summary

The USDA FAS forecasts a slight recovery in feed demand in Russia as the livestock sector recovers from the COVID-19 pandemic's impact. In December 2020, the Russian government introduced an export quota of 17.5m tons of grain for the period February 15 to June 30, 2021, along with export duties, to ensure feed availability and benefit livestock producers. Despite these measures, domestic grain consumption is not expected to increase, and reduced economic prospects are expected to dampen wheat consumption in MY 2021/22. Feed demand is behind a barley consumption forecast level, and corn consumption in Russia is projected to rise to 11.2m MT in MY 2021/22. The government's increased regulation is expected to play a significant role in pricing and overall regulation of the Russian agricultural sector in the future.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

The USDA FAS forecasts a small recovery in feed demand in Russia as the livestock husbandry sector recovers from dampened demand during the COVID-19 pandemic. To address sharply increased domestic prices, in December 2020, the Russian government introduced an export quota of 17.5m tons of grain for the period February 15 to June 30, 2021, which excludes supplies to the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) countries, including Russia, Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, and Kyrgyzstan. Those measures were also supplemented by export duties; such levies were expected to benefit livestock producers as it was believed the move would ensure ample feed availabilities in the domestic market. “However, weaker demand exemplified by reported decreases in poultry inventories and slowing of the growth rate of pig production suggests ample supplies alone may not drive higher consumption,”​ said the USDA FAS. According to Russian analysts, domestic grain consumption is not growing and the likelihood of its ...

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