Brazil: Coffee crop at risk due to climate change

게시됨 2023년 3월 1일

Tridge 요약

Climate change is expected to significantly impact Brazil's Arabica coffee production, with projections showing a shift in the rainy season that could negatively affect the crop's flowering period and yields. By 2050, the number of days above 34°C during the critical September-October flowering period is projected to increase by up to 10 days per month, and September-October rainfall totals are expected to decrease by 10%. These changes could exacerbate yield and quality issues, as Arabica coffee crops are highly susceptible to weather volatility. The situation is further complicated by the recovery of Brazilian coffee trees from a severe drought and unexpected late season frosts in 2021, and the impact of heavy rains in Minas Gerais in January and February 2023, which have led to a 26% increase in futures coffee prices.

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원본 콘텐츠

Climate change projections for Brazil’s finicky Arabica coffee crop show a rainy season shift that could threaten the crop’s flowering period and, ultimately, yields. A coffee plant’s flowering is an important indicator of potential yield as the fruiting bodies produced during this stage eventually become coffee cherries. Brazil is the largest Arabica coffee producer and exporter, providing the world with more than a third of its Arabica coffee beans. And traditionally, Brazil’s Arabica crop’s September-October flowering period follows the onset of the region’s rainy season. But, by 2050, climate projections show a considerably different temperature and precipitation pattern. By 2050, during Brazil’s crop’s critical September-October flowering period, the number of days above 34°C, a threshold where yield and quality issues arise, is projected to increase by up to 10 days per month. Additionally, September-October rainfall totals in Brazil’s Arabica coffee-growing regions are ...

출처: Gro-intelligence