Due to the escalating US-China trade conflict, China may replace soybeans with palm oil, leading to a rise in demand for the latter. However, this increase could be balanced by uncertainties in global demand due to tariffs and falling crude oil prices. The US imposes a 145% tariff on Chinese goods, while China imposes a 125% tariff on US goods. This situation could push China to decrease its dependence on US soybean imports, possibly shifting its focus to South American producers or partially replacing soybean with palm oil. Despite tariffs, the impact on the US's palm oil demand is expected to be negligible.