China is expected to have a bumper wheat crop in the coming year due to favourable weather conditions, according to COFCO International executive, Duan Chen. The winter wheat crop, which makes up 90% of China's annual wheat output, is expected to increase surplus, leading to a potential reduction in imports. China, one of the world's largest wheat importers, has already cut back on purchases this year due to domestic output reaching an all-time high of 140.1 million tonnes in 2024. The surplus wheat is expected to be absorbed by the feed sector and government procurement. However, the escalating trade war between China and the US could further impact wheat imports, with China recently announcing tax hikes on about $21 billion worth of agricultural products in response to new US tariffs.