Could US soy industry benefit from Brazilian tax changes?

Published 2024년 6월 11일

Tridge summary

The latest market report from CRM Agri reveals a decline in wheat prices, influenced by Turkey's import restrictions and supported by increased expectations for rain to bolster Black Sea crops. Meanwhile, corn and soybeans prices have seen gains, attributed to new Brazilian tax measures that could negatively affect Brazilian corn and soybeans, potentially shifting export demand back to the US. The EU-27+UK is projected to see a slight increase in total grain crop production, with wheat, barley, and corn forecasts adjusted from the previous projections. Great Britain has experienced a rise in feed production for poultry and dairy cows, likely due to delayed grazing for cattle, while the European grain crop forecast faces uncertainties, particularly in northwestern Europe, owing to record rainfall.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Wheat prices have slipped further, weighed down by Turkey’s import curbs, while corn and soybeans made some gains, finds the latest oilseeds and grains market report from CRM Agri. Those gains for soy and corn were supported by Brazilian tax changes, said the UK analysts and other commentators. The new measures limit the ability of Brazilian commodity exporters and processors to use tax credits, thereby hampering their competitive edge in international markets. The change in tax rules could make Brazilian corn less attractive, potentially shifting export demand back to the US. Similarly, the measures could result in a 4% reduction in prices paid to Brazil’s soybean farmers, weakening the appeal of Brazilian soybeans in favor of US beans. In a report by Reuters last week, Arlan Suderman, chief economist at StoneX, mentioned that Brazilian soybean processors and biofuel producers will incur higher tax costs and lower margins. Suderman indicated that this revenue loss is set to move ...

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