Diyu Fish Forum: Global whitefish production is set to decline overall in 2026, with a significant drop in Alaska pollock and Barents Sea cod.

As of now, Russia and Norway have not reached an agreement on the Atlantic cod quota in the Barents Sea, with industry insiders conservatively predicting a further reduction of around 22% in 2025, bringing the total to only 250,000 tons; of which Norway will have 131,000 tons, a reduction of 25%; and Russia will have 119,000 tons, a reduction of 21%. Iceland has become the largest supplier of Atlantic cod, but its quota will also be reduced by 4% to 204,000 tons.

Only Greenland and North America's quotas will increase, with the global supply of Atlantic cod decreasing by 10% to 640,000 tons.

The quota for Barents Sea pollock is expected to increase by 13% to 142,000 tons, with Norway accounting for 80,000 tons and Russia 62,000 tons. Iceland and the UK's pollock quotas will also increase, with a global quota increase of around 8% in 2026.

Greenland halibut quotas continue to be reduced, with Norway's quota cut by 7,000 tons to 173,000 tons, and the global quota reduced from 312,000 tons to 300,000 tons. The Atlantic redfish quota remains at 168,000 tons.

The forum predicts that in 2026, the quotas for Alaska and Pacific cod in the United States will also be reduced, with the US Alaska pollack quota decreasing by 100,000 tons to 1.3 million tons, and the global quota reduced to about 3.594 million tons. The Pacific cod quota will decrease by 14,000 tons to 148,000 tons.

Additionally, the forum predicts that in 2026, Russia's pollack quota will be around 2.06 million tons, and the Pacific cod quota will be about 100,000 tons, unchanged from 2025. Russia's pollack supply is expected to account for 57% of the global total.

The forum predicts that in 2026, global production of non-snouted gadoids will increase by 21,000 tons to 105.3 million tons, with production in New Zealand, Argentina, and Chile increasing, and production in Namibia expected to decrease.

In addition, the forum also predicts the production of farmed whitefish in 2026, with Vietnam's basa fish production increasing by 40,000 tons, Indonesia and Egypt's tilapia production increasing significantly, and China's tilapia production growth slowing noticeably.