Milk and dairy products in the Brazilian market have been reacting, but the scenario of less competitiveness with imports remains

Published 2024년 4월 19일

Tridge summary

The global and national milk markets are currently navigating through a period of uncertainty, influenced by factors such as reduced demand from China and efforts to increase domestic production. In Argentina, a decline in milk production has been observed due to lower profitability for farmers, whereas Brazil is experiencing a rise in dairy imports, prompting state governments to intervene with tax measures. Despite these challenges, there is a silver lining as domestic prices for milk and dairy products are on the rise, buoyed by seasonal production lows and positive macroeconomic indicators like GDP growth and supermarket sales. Additionally, the cost of milk production is showing signs of recovery, thanks to decreasing input prices, hinting at a potential improvement in profitability for producers. However, the dairy sector in Brazil still faces hurdles from imports and must focus on enhancing cost competitiveness and farm efficiency to better align with global price levels. Amidst these dynamics, there is a sense of optimism for a potential stabilization or decrease in milk prices in the near future, offering some relief to consumers and the dairy industry.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

The national and global milk market still remains under great uncertainty. In the international area, prices lost their pace of increase a little, mainly influenced by lower Chinese demand. Furthermore, the Asian giant has been stimulating domestic production by replacing part of imports. Whole milk powder closed at US$3,269/ton in the GDT auction on April 16, 2024. In April 2023, this price was at US$3,100/ton. In Argentina, milk supply continues to be complicated by worsening profitability on farms. In the first two months of the year, milk production in Argentina fell 13.6% compared to the same period last year. In the domestic market, prices for milk and dairy products have been reacting, but the scenario of less competitiveness in prices and struggle with imports remains. In the first quarter of 2024, Brazilian imports totaled 560 million liters, an increase of 10.8% compared to 2023. The price differential, both for powdered milk and mozzarella cheese, is more favorable to ...

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