Export and domestic prices for Russian wheat resume growth

Published 2023년 9월 27일

Tridge summary

Analysts expect an increase in domestic and purchase prices at ports by 1,500-2,000 rubles per ton. The wheat export potential of seven competitor countries, including Australia, Argentina, and Canada, is expected to decrease by 21 million tons for the 2023/2024 season. Despite an increase in demand from importers, the stock market is declining.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

“We expect that the increase in domestic and purchase prices at ports will be 1,500–2,000 rubles per ton,” analysts note. The decrease in the wheat export potential of seven Russian competitor territories (Australia, Argentina, EU, Kazakhstan, Canada, USA, Ukraine) in the 2023/2024 season will amount to 21 million tons - to 121.5 million tons. This will be the lowest figure in the previous five seasons (since the 2018/2019 season). At the same time, the forecast for wheat exports from Russia in September 2023, taking into account the EAEU countries, was increased from 5.45–5.50 million tons to 5.55–5.60 million tons (the previous September record was 5.24 million tons ). The stock market was declining despite an increase in demand from importers, expressed in tenders from two large importing countries and purchases from China. Algeria (OAIC) purchased 600 thousand tons of wheat at a price of $272-275 per ton C&F for delivery from November 16 to December 31. Egypt (GASC) canceled ...
Source: Zol

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