Hungaray: Grain prices have shot up, but there is no threat of stock shortages

Published 2022년 11월 17일

Tridge summary

The USDA forecasts a global wheat harvest of 782 million tons for the 2022/2023 financial year, with consumption predicted to decrease by 0.5% from the previous year to 790 million tons. The global wheat market is expected to see a 1% increase in trade, leading to a 3% decrease in wheat stocks. In Hungary, the producer price of edible and feed wheat, as well as industrial sunflower seeds, rapeseed, and soybeans, has significantly increased compared to the previous year. The European Commission reported a 16% decrease in the EU's live cattle and beef exports in the first half of 2022, with the largest markets being Israel, Ghana, and Bosnia and Herzegovina. Hungary experienced a 9% decrease in live cattle exports but a 7% increase in imports, alongside a 15% increase in beef imports, which resulted in a 59% increase in their value. The producer price of young bulls, slaughter heifers, and slaughter cows in Hungary have also seen significant increases, leading to a 59% increase in the consumer price of beef steak in September 2022.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

According to the October forecast of the US Department of Agriculture (USDA), 782 million tons of wheat may be harvested in the world in 2022/2023. financial year. Analysts indicate the global consumption of the crop at 790 million tons, which would be 0.5% less than a year earlier. The global turnover of wheat may be 208 million tons (+1%), so by the end of the economic year, the size of accumulated wheat stocks may decrease by 3% compared to the previous season to 267.5 million tons. According to AKI PÁIR data, the producer price of edible wheat in Hungary excluding VAT and transport costs is 137.2 thousand forints/tonne (+65% compared to a year earlier), that of feed wheat is 130.4 thousand forints/tonne (+55%), the for fodder corn was 138.4 thousand HUF/ton (+63%) in the first week of October. At the same time, the producer price of industrial sunflower seeds (including sunflower seeds with high oleic acid content) is HUF 274.4 thousand/ton (+52%), rapeseed is HUF 266.2 ...
Source: Trademagazin

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