It is estimated that in July, El Nino will have an impact on rice harvests in Indonesia

Published 2023년 6월 3일

Tridge summary

The article forecasts the occurrence of the El Nino phenomenon, also known as the Southern Oscillation (ENSO) 2023, after June 2023, with a 50% likelihood. This event, marked by warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the central Pacific Ocean, could significantly impact Indonesia's weather and agriculture, particularly the national rice harvest. The University of Bogor's Center for Climate Risk and Southeast Asia and Pacific Opportunity Management (CCROM-SEAP) highlights the need for planting modifications and adjustments to mitigate the effects of potential flooding, drought, and crop failure in Java and South Sulawesi. Proposals include optimizing crop calendars, making site-specific adjustments, and providing farmers with weather forecast tools to adapt their farming practices.

Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

REPUBLIKA.CO.ID, BOGOR -- El nino or the phenomenon of warming Sea Surface Temperature (SML) above normal conditions in the central Pacific Ocean and The Souther Oscillation (ENSO) 2023 is expected to occur after June 2023. Head of Center for Climate Risk and IPB University's Southeast Asia and Pacific Opportunity Management (CCROM-SEAP), Prof. Rizaldi Boer, said el nino would have implications for the national rice harvest. Rizaldi said, ENSO after June is likely to be 50 percent, where statistically and dynamically it shows that the possibility of Indonesia experiencing an el nino is relatively high. Experimental forecasts for rain from January to March from the Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) and IPB's CCROM are also relatively consistent. "There is a close relationship between the Pacific Ocean related to ENSO in Indonesia, and rising sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean which will affect rainfall in Indonesia," said Rizaldi, Saturday (3/6/2023). ...

Source: Republika