La Niña may alter climate and affect soybeans in Brazil, points out StoneX

The La Niña phenomenon is expected to start influencing the climate in Brazil from the end of 2025, according to the StoneX Quarterly Commodity Outlook Report. The formation of the event is particularly concerning for soybean farmers, as it tends to cause drought in the South of the country and irregular rainfall in other producing regions, which may affect the development of the 25/26 soybean crop. According to Carolina Jaramillo Giraldo, Market Intelligence Analyst at StoneX, the temperature anomalies in the Pacific point to cooling in the central and eastern regions of the ocean, a typical pattern of La Niña. “International climate models indicate a weak La Niña, but with the potential to interfere with the crop if the phenomenon extends into 2026,” she says. Soybeans are expected to be the most sensitive crop to the initial effects of the climatic condition. In the South, the reduction in the arrival of cold fronts may cause atmospheric blockages and delay rainfall during the ...