More chicken, less pork, how the EU meat industry will change by 2035

Published 2024년 12월 23일

Tridge summary

The European Commission's agricultural outlook for 2024-2035 forecasts a decline in beef production and consumption due to rising prices, with a decrease of 450 thousand tonnes to 6.3 million tonnes and a drop in per capita consumption to 9.2 kg per year. Live animal exports are expected to decline, while meat exports will increase. Intensive pork production is likely to face public backlash due to African swine fever and stricter laws, leading to a 0.5% annual reduction in production. In contrast, poultry production is projected to increase by 770,000 tonnes, driven by changes in consumption and export opportunities, with a growth in consumption and exports. Poultry meat prices are also expected to rise to 2,730 euros/ton by 2035.

Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

This is stated in the "EU Agricultural Outlook 2024-2035", prepared by the European Commission. "Beef production and consumption will continue to fall and will decrease by 450 thousand tonnes to 6.3 million tonnes by 2035 (-6.7% compared to 2022-2024)," the report says. By 2035, beef consumption per capita could fall from 9.8 kg per year to 9.2 kg per year (-5.9%). EU live animal exports will gradually decrease by 3.2% per year between 2022-2024 and 2035, but EU meat exports will continue to grow until 2035 (+0.9% per year). Beef prices are set to rise, reaching around €6,000/t by 2035. At the same time, intensive pork production systems are likely to face further public criticism in the coming years. African swine fever (ASF), combined with the introduction of stricter laws in some EU countries and reduced export opportunities, will lead to a 0.5% annual reduction in production, or 1.2 million tonnes, compared to 2022-2024. Per capita consumption will fall by 0.4%, to 30 kg in ...

Source: AgroPortal.ua