The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook for 2024-2033 reports an 11% increase in global rice production, reaching 587 million tons in 2033, driven by improved yields and strong production expansions in Asian countries, especially India. Asian countries are expected to maintain robust growth, with India becoming the world's largest rice producer by 2033. South and Southeast Asian rice exports are set to grow at an annual rate of 2.8%, allowing their share of global exports to expand to 86%. However, global rice prices reached a 15-year high in 2023 due to concerns about adverse production effects from El Niño and export restrictions by India, although prices have since stabilized. The outlook also highlights the risks to agricultural commodity trade in the region, including disruptions to key shipping routes due to water level restrictions and the conflict in the Red Sea.