Promising harvest in Europe should reduce the price of olive oil in Brazil by at least 20% in 2025

Published 2024년 12월 11일

Tridge summary

Brazil is heavily dependent on the European market for olive oil due to its low domestic production, making it vulnerable to global supply fluctuations and price fluctuations. However, with the new harvest expected to end in 2025, there is an anticipated relief for the market as robust volumes are expected from the main producing countries, leading to a potential 20% price drop for Brazilian consumers in 2025. This is due to a 23% increase in global production forecast for the 2024-2025 campaign, primarily driven by abundant harvests in Spain, Tunisia, Turkey, and Greece. Despite the challenges posed by climate change in the olive oil sector, the quality of Italian olive oil continues to be a differentiator. There is also a growing demand for olive oil in Brazil as consumers prioritize intentional consumption and healthier food options.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

With a still small domestic olive oil production, Brazil depends almost entirely on the European market to supply its domestic consumption. This scenario makes the country highly vulnerable to fluctuations in olive oil production in the world's main producing regions. The last few years have been challenging: climate problems have reduced global supply and caused olive oil prices to reach historic highs. With the new harvest, which began in October, the outlook is for relief for the market. Robust volumes are expected in the main producing countries, which could result in a significant price reduction for Brazilian consumers as early as 2025. "The estimate is for a minimum 20% drop in prices at the beginning of next year, with possibilities of further reductions throughout the year, considering global demand and exchange rate variations," comments Leonardo Scandola, commercial director of Filippo Berio in Latin America. Olive oil prices have seen their highest increase in Brazil ...

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