Sugar prices are increasing globally due to disappointing yields in Brazil from drought and excessive rainfall, transport container shortages, and refinery mill closures in Brazil due to low sugar prices. The International Sugar Organisation predicts a global deficit of 3.6 million tonnes for the 2024-2025 season. The election of Donald Trump as US president could potentially benefit Brazil in a trade war with China but could also lead to protectionism which could negatively impact global economic development, causing inflation and higher interest rates.