Ecuadorian shrimp sector eyes US opportunities

Published 2024년 11월 15일

Tridge summary

Rabobank's Gorjan Nikolik highlighted mixed shrimp production forecasts for Latin America and Asia at the Global Seafood Alliance summit. Ecuador's growth is expected to slow down due to China's consumer demand, while Brazil's production is predicted to grow by 10%. Latin American shrimp producers are facing challenges due to low prices, with India's production forecasted to fall by 3-4% before recovering in 2025. There are concerns about the accuracy of the production figures from Vietnam and Indonesia. A shift towards monodon production is anticipated in Asia, while Rosenbergii species are expected to decline. The overall outlook is flat to negative for 2023 and 2024, but there are signs of recovery in US demand. Ecuadorian shrimp exporters are expected to shift their focus to the EU and US markets, which could negatively impact competitors like India and Indonesia.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

This was one of the main messages delivered by Rabobank's Gorjan Nikolik during a presentation at this year’s Global Seafood Alliance summit, which focused on shrimp production forecasts from around the globe based on responses from GSA’s annual survey. “2024 has been the year when Ecuador slowed down after several years of double digit growth. Last year they grew by 14 percent, so were basically staying on trend. And then the brakes were put on in 2024 by China’s limited consumer demand. The survey respondents still predicted growth, but only by around 4 percent, and that’s probably on the high side, because the survey was made before the September export results came in at -11 percent, so the final number could be zero or 2 percent. That’s a very different pace of supply growth from what we've seen historically from Ecuador and is a really important moment,” Nikolik explained to The Fish Site. Looking further ahead, he pointed out the pessimistic outlooks of the Ecuadorian ...
Source: Thefishsite

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