Russia/Ukraine grain export deal promises major benefits for poor countries

Published 2022년 7월 24일

Tridge summary

A recent article outlines the potential impact of Russia's signing of a grain export deal with Ukraine on importing countries, particularly those in Africa. The deal, aimed at allowing Ukraine to export its 22 million tonnes of grain currently in silos, could provide relief by increasing supply and potentially lowering global grain prices. However, the effectiveness of the deal is uncertain, especially after Russia's missile attack on Odesa, and the risk of grain vessels being targeted remains. Despite these uncertainties, the deal could positively affect consumers and importing countries by reducing the strain on agricultural imports and allowing wheat farmers in Africa to avoid losses. The success of the deal hinges on the implementation of security measures for cargo and the outcomes of ongoing multinational discussions.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

If Russia keeps to the deal it has signed with Ukraine allowing for the resumption of grain exports, much needed relief will be provided to importing countries, including many in Africa. The relief would be significant as Ukraine has roughly 22 million tonnes of grain (wheat, maize, sunflower seed and other grains) in silos. It has not been able to ship these to export markets because of Russia’s invasion, which disrupted infrastructure and the attacks on vessels transporting goods. Ukraine is a notable player in global grain and oilseeds export market. And thus, the blockage of exports has contributed to the notable increase in agricultural commodity prices observed since the war started. The aim of the “grain deal”, signed between Kyiv and Moscow on July 22 2002, was to change this chaotic situation. Under the agreement Russia promised not to attack grain vessels in the Black Sea region. But this promise didn’t last long. Less than 24 hours after the deal was signed Russian ...

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