The orange harvest in Brazil's citrus belt for the 2023/24 season is projected to decrease by 1.5% from the previous season, totaling 309.34 million cartons. This decrease is due to factors such as above average rainfall, the negative biennial cycle, lower flowering of late varieties, and increased citrus greening. Despite these challenges, high moisture content could lead to heavier fruit, potentially the largest since the 2017/18 season. The average productivity is expected to slightly increase by 0.6% from the previous season, reaching 918 cartons per hectare.