The Central-South region is expected to have the third-largest sugarcane crop in history in 2026/27.

The 2026/27 sugarcane crop in Brazil's Central-South region is expected to reach 620.5 million tons, a 3.6% increase from the previous cycle. If confirmed, the result will represent the third-largest harvest ever recorded, according to a projection by StoneX. The expected growth is attributed to three factors: the rejuvenation of the sugarcane fields following increased renewals in 2024/25 and 2025/26, the expectation of normal rainfall between October and March, and the expansion of the harvested area, which is expected to reach 8 million hectares, an increase of 1.8% from the current cycle. Part of this increase comes from the recovery of areas affected by fires between July and September 2024, when 420,000 hectares were affected. "The recovery of the areas reformed after the fires and the expected return of rainfall create a more favorable environment for the sector. These factors, combined with the rejuvenation of the sugarcane fields, explain the projection of a harvest among ...