The Almond Board of Australia announced on November 11 the actual procurement volume for the 2025 season, which was finalized at 155,697 tons (in-shell weight). This figure is slightly higher than the pre-harvest estimate of 155,531 tons released in February, but it is nearly 7,500 tons lower than last year's record procurement of 163,148 tons and nearly 10% below the long-term production forecast.
Despite mixed data in September, sales for the 2025/26 season remain strong. Sales to India have declined significantly compared to last year, but sales to China have increased by 4% from the previous season so far. Total shipments (exports and domestic) in September decreased by 25% compared to the same period last year, but the 17,761 tons shipped was the second-highest for that month on record.
As of the end of August, Australian almond exports showed a slight increase compared to the same period last year. However, September shipments were not as favorable. September exports were 15,764 tons, a 27% decrease year-on-year, and the third-highest monthly export performance for the season. In September 2024, exports were 21,538 tons, the best performance of the previous season and the highest monthly export volume on record. Except for a 3.5% increase in exports to China to 11,042 tons, exports to other major destinations were lower than the previous year.
Since the start of this season, the total volume of in-shell and shelled almonds shipped domestically and overseas in Australia is 105,638 tons, a decrease of 4.6% compared to the same period last year. Domestic demand decreased by 3.6% to 14,091 tons, while exports slowed for the first time, decreasing by 4.7% to 91,547 tons. Nearly 60% (54,189 tons) of Australian almonds were exported to China, followed by India (14.7%), Turkey (6.3%), Vietnam (5.7%), and Germany (2.7%).
According to the latest report from the International Nut and Dried Fruit Council (INC), global almond production (in-shell) totals 1.648 million tons, an increase of 1.6% from last year. Market participants are highly skeptical of the official forecast of 3 billion pounds (1.36 million tons) for California, with the general consensus among unofficial sources being between 2.55-2.8 billion pounds (1.16-1.27 million tons). The INC used an average of 1.226 million tons in its overview. For Australia, the INC report still estimates the crop yield at 155,500 tons. The INC expects Spain's almond production to remain at 105,000 tons, the same as the previous year.
Image source: Mundus Agri 2025 International Fruit and Vegetable Report. All rights reserved. For permission to reproduce, contact the International Fruit and Vegetable Report and credit the source.