The price of cattle: How high can the astonishing rise in the price of steer in Brazil go?

Published 2024년 12월 11일

Tridge summary

The article provides an analysis of the significant increase in the price of steers in Brazil, with a 48% accumulated increase in just a short period. This surge is attributed to strong domestic demand, China and the US buying record volumes, and the devaluation of the real. The price of boneless beef destined for China has risen by 32%, and the industry is seeking higher prices for future shipments. The international beef market is expected to be promising for 2025, but geopolitical tensions and potential trade wars could impact the market dynamics.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

The accumulated increase in the price of the “fat boi” in dollars is 48%. Shocking rise in the price of steer in Brazil: How far can the record price go? The value of the free or blue dollar from the period 2005-2023, at constant currency, presents an average of $ 1,840 (today's pesos) per unit. The highest values in the series occur in mid-2020, in the middle of the pandemic, with about $ 3 thousand / $ 3,100 today per bill; and in October 2023 (full electoral campaign and "Plan Platita"), with about $ 2,800 today per dollar. The lowest value occurs between the second half of 2016 and the first half of 2018 (Macri's presidency), when the blue dollar was between $ 1,050 and $ 1,100 today. The current value of the free dollar is 38% below the average for the period 2005-2023. As for the price of wintering calves expressed in free dollars, which today is quoted at US$ 2.35 per kilo, it is 45% above the average of the last 10 years. The astonishing rise in the price of steers in ...

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