Tridge summary
Core tip: Affected by the U.S.-China trade dispute, since the start of the 2024/25 season, U.S. almond exports have slightly declined year-on-year, while geopolitical unrest has led to a significant shrinkage in shipments to the Middle East. Chinese buyers have turned to Australian sources, and India has replaced China as the largest overseas market for U.S. almonds. As of the end of July 2025, U.S. almond processors have pre-sold 284.8 million pounds of 2025 crop almonds, a significant decrease of 25% from 379.0 million pounds in the same period last year.
Original content
On August 12, the Almond Board of California (ABC) released its July market report. The report mainly re-evaluates the supply and demand situation at the end of the 2024/25 crop season, updates pre-sale data, and officially starts the new sales year in August. Analysis of Pre-Sales for the New Crop Season Almonds From the 2020/21 to the 2024/25 crop season, the USDA target pre-sale percentage as of the end of July was 7.9%-23.2%. The current pre-sale volume of 2.848 billion pounds is only 9.5% of the estimated 30 billion pounds of production. On July 10, the USDA increased its previous production estimate of 28 billion pounds by 7% to 30 billion pounds. This means that the 2025 production is expected to be the second-highest on record, only behind the 2020/21 crop season, with an increase of nearly 10% compared to last year. The increase in production estimates has made the pre-sale progress for the 2025/26 crop season even more lagging, with pre-sales as of the end of June ...
Source: Foodmate
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