World: USDA has lowered the forecast for rapeseed and soybean harvest in Ukraine

Published 2024년 10월 15일

Tridge summary

The GrainTrade report updates the production, balance, and forecasts for various crops including sunflower, rapeseed, and soybeans for the period ending FY 2024/25. It notes an increase in sunflower production projections for Argentina and Moldova, but a decrease in soybean production forecasts for Ukraine and rapeseed for the EU, Moldova, and Ukraine due to low yields and reduced acreage. The global soybean production forecast is reduced by 0.28 million tons, and global rapeseed production is reduced by 0.12 million tons, but sunflower production is increased by 0.14 million tons. The report also adjusts global balance sheets, consumption projections, and ending stocks accordingly.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

As stated in the GrainTrade report, the forecast for sunflower production was increased by 0.14 million tons, while rapeseed and soybeans were reduced by 0.12 and 0.28 million tons, respectively. "Sunflower production estimates have been raised for Argentina and Moldova due to increased acreage, while soybean production forecasts have been lowered for Ukraine and rapeseed for the EU, Moldova and Ukraine due to low yields and reduced acreage," the analysts added. Compared to the estimates in September, the new soybean balance for FY 2024/25 is almost unchanged. The estimate of initial reserves was increased by 0.12 to 112.37 million tons (100.92 million tons in FY 2023/24). The forecast of world soybean production was reduced by 0.28 — to 428.92 million tons (394.71 million tons in 2023/24 MR and 378.4 million tons in 2022/23 MR), in particular for Ukraine — by 0.2, to 6.6 million tons and the USA - by 0.1, to 124.7 (113.34) million tons. For Brazil and Argentina, forecasts were ...

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