When will global coffee prices come down?

Coffee prices have been on the rise for quite some time. For nearly a year, the general trend has been upwards, reaching a 13-year peak on 28 August this year, according to Trading Economics. A recent cold snap in Brazil​, one of the world’s leading producers of coffee, has brought the situation into focus. Indeed, extreme weather events, both hot and cold, can impact yields, largely due to the ever-present climate change. Now, we ask several analysts when – or if - they think these prices might fall. Weather patterns in Brazil are central to coffee prices. The country accounts for 40% of world production, according to Steve Wateridge, head of research at tropical research services at market intelligence firm Expana. Whether coffee prices go up or down, he told FoodNavigator, hinges largely on the crop potential for Brazil’s upcoming 2025/26 season. When the rains return, coffee crops begin to flower, and from this, growers will be better able to predict what the crop potential is ...