World cereal production will reach new records this year with trade in turmoil due to rising consumption or the weather

Published 2024년 8월 3일

Tridge summary

The intergovernmental organization IGC predicts that world cereal production will reach a record high of 2,321 million tons in the 2024-2025 campaign, with grain cereals production increased by eight million tons from the previous forecast. However, distribution and trade are expected to be turbulent due to factors such as climate instability, geopolitical issues, and rising consumption. The stored stocks are projected to decrease due to record usage, leading to a forecasted decline in grain trade. The global cereal and oilseed index shows a monthly decrease of 2% due to the harvest in the northern hemisphere, ample global supply, and strong competition. In Spain, the prices are set by international markets and have decreased compared to January 2024.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

World cereal production will reach a historical maximum in the 2024-2025 campaign up to 2,321 million tons, according to the intergovernmental organization IGC, but its distribution and trade will be very turbulent due to the rise in consumption, climate instability and the geopolitical panorama. With these capacities, world cereal production "concatenates" several record campaigns, Efeagro assures from the commercial sector, but "the question is how it will be distributed", along with unknowns such as the effect of political instability on oil and transport freight; At the moment the price trend is bearish. Spain, specifically, is a grain-deficient nation and its prices are set by international markets, although the production of this campaign is more abundant than the catastrophic one of 2023, marked by drought. THE DATA AND PRICES The latest IGC forecasts raise the world production of grain cereals by eight million tons, to 2,321 million tons, taking into account the ...

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