Butter exports in the US weakening even with lower prices

Published 2020년 11월 6일

Tridge summary

Dairy economist Nate Donnay does not anticipate a significant increase in butter exports by the end of the year, despite U.S. prices being lower than the global market. He highlights that the latest Global Dairy Trade auction results have pushed New Zealand butter prices towards those of the European Union, both of which are pricier than the U.S. Donnay believes that the market remains bearish and requires a supply side shift. He also notes a decrease in butter exports, which is reflective of a declining nonfat dry milk, skim milk powder market. Despite trade issues and economic challenges in major destinations like Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Morocco, the USDA's Foreign Ag Service anticipates strong demand from China, which is likely to result in increased imports of U.S. skim milk powder, cheese, and whey powder.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

A dairy economist says he doesn’t expect much of a surge for butter exports before the end of the year even with U.S. prices below the global market. Nate Donnay with StoneX says the latest Global Dairy Trade auction results pushed New Zealand butter prices closer to that of the European Union, both of which are at a premium to the U.S. “We should see better exports, it just doesn’t look like the exports are going to be strong enough to really turn the dial on the butter market from bearish to bullish. We need to see some kind of change in the supply side.” Donnay says major destinations including Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Morocco that bought when the U.S. saw record sales levels in 2013 aren’t buying today which he says could be a sign of declining economies and ongoing trade issues. He says reduced butter exports are also an indicator of a weakening nonfat dry milk, skim milk powder market globally. ...

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