Canada: Red lentil crops might be getting smaller

Published 2024년 9월 26일

Tridge summary

Analysts predict potential upside in red lentil markets due to various bullish factors, including deteriorating growing conditions in Australia and lower-than-expected yields in Canada. The U.S. is set to produce 402,000 tonnes, while India's increased pigeon pea production and existing lentil stockpiles may reduce import needs. Additionally, low imported stocks and reliance on government buffer stocks are noted, with significant exports expected from Russia and Kazakhstan, despite quality concerns in Kazakhstan. Turkey meets its domestic demand and re-exports processed lentils. Overall, the market is influenced by a complex interplay of supply and demand factors.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

There could be upside in red lentil markets, says an analyst. “I can see more of the bullish factors rather than the bearish news,” AgPulse Analytica analyst Gaurav Jain said at the Global Pulse Confederation’s (GPC’s) recent Macau Pulses Congress. The market has already factored in big crops from Canada and Australia, so most of the bearish news has been absorbed. Something needs to happen to jolt the market out of its current doldrums and he thinks that is likely to be a bullish factor, such as a worse-than-anticipated Australian crop. The Australian government is forecasting 1.7 million tonnes of production. Some analysts were thinking it could be as high as two million tonnes. But Jain said it could be as small as 1.2 million tonnes as growing conditions deteriorate in that important production region. Peter Wilson, a trader with Louis Dreyfus Company, said conditions in Western Australia are adequate, there are good yield prospects in the northeast, but Victoria and South ...

Would you like more in-depth insights?

Gain access to detailed market analysis tailored to your business needs.
By clicking “Accept Cookies,” I agree to provide cookies for statistical and personalized preference purposes. To learn more about our cookies, please read our Privacy Policy.