Australia: Cattle slaughter expected to fall in April

Published 2023년 3월 31일

Tridge summary

In April 2023, the Australian agricultural sector is expected to experience a decrease in operational efficiency due to several public holidays, resulting in the lowest working days since 2017. This situation is expected to lead to a decrease in slaughter numbers, particularly for cattle, potentially falling below the figures from April 2017. This reduction in slaughter numbers is likely to have downstream effects, including a decrease in beef exports. However, an increase in carcase weights could help mitigate this impact. The processing of sheep and lambs is facing unusual circumstances with processors replacing lamb with mutton due to price differences, making it difficult to predict the future trends in slaughter numbers for April.

Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Several public holidays and less working days throughout April mean this month will have the lowest number of working days (17) since 2017, assuming processors are working a typical five-day working week with no Saturday kills. Due to the NLRS not reporting national kill numbers in 2017 (the last comparable year with 17 working days), analysis has been conducted to compare eastern states kill numbers instead. Cattle In April 2017, eastern states kill numbers totalled 430,549 head and slaughter for 2017 reached 7.16m head. This was 7%, or 496,000 head, above the 2023 slaughter forecasts of 6.66m head, suggesting that April 2023’s monthly slaughter will most likely remain below the April totals seen in 2017. In 2022, the weekly average kill rate for the four weeks of April was 83,492 head – a decline of 5% on the preceding four weeks in March. Kill numbers for the first four months of 2022 were significantly impacted by transport access, COVID-19 processing capacity issues and ...

Source: Mla