China is experiencing a surge in African swine fever infections, likely leading to a reduction in hog production later in the year. This development is expected to drive up pork prices in the world's largest pork consumer as demand recovers. The disease, which has been an issue in China since 2018, is particularly prevalent in northern provinces like Shandong and Hebei. Although farms have improved hygiene and procedures, the virus continues to spread, especially during winter. The extent of the outbreak is not yet clear, with reports indicating a significant increase in positive detections since the Lunar New Year holiday. The price of Chinese pork has been stable since late last year due to weak demand and oversupply, but this is likely to change as the disease continues to spread and producers continue to cull herds.