Cotton production is expected to fall by 1.1% in the 2025/26 crop season.

Published 2025년 10월 16일

Tridge summary

According to the data from the 1st Survey of the 2025/26 Grain Harvest, released this Tuesday (14) by the National Supply Company (Conab), the production of cotton in the 2024/25 harvest is expected to reach 4.08 million tons of lint. For the 2025/26 harvest, the estimate is 4.03 million tons, cultivated in an area of 2.14 million hectares. Despite the 2.5% increase in area, production is expected to decline by 1.1% due to the expected 3.5% drop in productivity.

Original content

The international cotton scenario is marked by uncertainties related to the tariff measures adopted by the United States government. Nevertheless, the projection is for an expansion of Brazilian exports, with an expectation of surpassing 3 million tons in 2026. Until September of this year, exports totaled 1.88 million tons, and the total volume is expected to reach 2.9 million tons by the end of 2025. The domestic demand had been showing signs of recovery with the performance of the textile sector, but it presented a contraction at the end of the first semester, reducing acquisitions. Internal consumption is expected to reach about 730 thousand tons this year, a 2.67% decrease from the previous year. For 2026, the projection is 725 thousand tons, influenced by the ...
Source: Agrolink

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