Frost, rain threaten Argentina’s potentially record wheat crop

Published 2025년 11월 5일

Tridge summary

Late-season frosts were reported in fields across the southern wheat-growing regions of Argentina last week, according to the Buenos Aires Grain Exchange, dampening the 2025-26 production outlook, which was set to challenge the 2021-22 record. The production impact of low temperatures, which swept through in the aftermath of an intense cold front last weekend, is

Original content

still being assessed by farmers and agronomists, as is crop damage from the storms and extreme rainfall that accompanied the front. The latest climate report from the exchange, released on October 16, reported that “although the general feeling is that the main climate risk affecting the current agricultural season will be excessive rainfall, it should be noted that, during the last few weeks, the cooling of the Equatorial Pacific has intensified considerably, both on its Asian margin and on its American margin, reaching a state very close to a weak La Niña”. A continued move in this direction is more likely to lead to a decrease in the intensity and frequency of rainfall in Argentina. The BAGE advised that the full impact of the frost event is unknown, but wheat crops in the south are currently at a vulnerable growth stage. Nevertheless, the high soil-moisture conditions and elevated ambient humidity may have helped reduce the impact of low temperatures, so it will be necessary ...

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