Despite increased planting of cereals and oilseeds, consumers are expected to face tight food supplies until 2024 due to adverse El Nino weather, export restrictions, and higher biofuel mandates. The El Nino weather phenomenon is forecasted to continue into 2024, risking supplies of rice, wheat, palm oil, and other farm products in major agricultural exporters and importers. While South American grain production is expected to improve in 2024, palm oil production is likely to fall due to dry El Nino weather, leading to higher cooking oil prices.